Resources

Policy reports and peer-reviewed literature the project builds on. Everything on this page comes from outside the project.

Reports and literature

Reports

Relevant policy reports underlying the Solution Lab Rur Erft:

  • EN European Commission (2025). Communication on the European Water Resilience Strategy. COM/2025/280 final.
  • EN Madani, K. (2026). Global Water Bankruptcy: Living Beyond Our Hydrological Means in the Post-Crisis Era. United Nations University Institute for Water, Environment and Health (UNU-INWEH), Richmond Hill, Ontario, Canada. doi:10.53328/INR26KAM001
  • EN World Economic Forum (2026). The Global Risks Report 2026. 21st edition, Geneva.
  • DE WBGU – Wissenschaftlicher Beirat der Bundesregierung Globale Umweltveränderungen (2024). Wasser in einer aufgeheizten Welt. WBGU, Berlin.
  • DE Ministerium für Umwelt, Klimaschutz und nukleare Sicherheit (2023). Nationale Wasserstrategie. Berlin.
  • DE Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft (2024). Schlüsselressource Wasser: Wasserkrisen und die Helmholtz-Initiative „Wassersicherheit für Mensch und Umwelt im 21. Jahrhundert“. White Paper.
  • DE Landesamt für Natur, Umwelt und Verbraucherschutz Nordrhein-Westfalen (2021). Kooperationsprojekt GROWA+ NRW 2021. Teil IIa: Modellierung des Wasserhaushalts in Nordrhein-Westfalen mit mGROWA. LANUV-Fachbericht 110.

Scientific Literature

Peer-reviewed publications underpinning the models and methods used in the Solution Lab Rur Erft:

  • EN Apel, H., Vorogushyn, S., & Merz, B. (2022). Brief communication: Impact forecasting could substantially improve the emergency management of deadly floods: case study July 2021 floods in Germany. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 22, 3005–3014. doi:10.5194/nhess-22-3005-2022
  • EN Guan, X., Nissen, K., Nguyen, V. D., Merz, B., Winter, B., & Vorogushyn, S. (2023). Multisite temporal rainfall disaggregation using methods of fragments conditioned on circulation patterns. Journal of Hydrology, 621, 129640. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129640
  • EN Heilemann, J., Klassert, C., Samaniego, L., Thober, S., Marx, A., Boeing, F., Klauer, B., & Gawel, E. (2024). Projecting impacts of extreme weather events on crop yields using LASSO regression. Weather and Climate Extremes, 46, 100738. doi:10.1016/j.wace.2024.100738
  • EN Heilemann, J., Klassert, C., Nagpal, M., Werner, S., Klauer, B., & Gawel, E. (2026). Trapped in irrigation: Future irrigation expansion amplifies food–water–energy policy trade-offs in Germany. Earth's Future, 14, e2025EF007226. doi:10.1029/2025EF007226
  • DE Herrmann, F., Chen, S., Heidt, L., Elbracht, J., Engel, N., Kunkel, R., Müller, U., Röhm, H., Vereecken, H., & Wendland, F. (2013). Zeitlich und räumlich hochaufgelöste flächendifferenzierte Simulation des Landschaftswasserhaushalts in Niedersachsen mit dem Modell mGROWA. Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung, 57(5). doi:10.5675/HyWa_2013,5_2
  • EN Herrmann, F., Keller, L., Kunkel, R., Vereecken, H., & Wendland, F. (2015). Determination of spatially differentiated water balance components including groundwater recharge on the Federal State level – A case study using the mGROWA model in North Rhine-Westphalia (Germany). Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 4, 294–312. doi:10.1016/j.ejrh.2015.06.018
  • EN Herrmann, F., Kunkel, R., Ostermann, U., Vereecken, H., & Wendland, F. (2016). Projected impact of climate change on irrigation needs and groundwater resources in the metropolitan area of Hamburg (Germany). Environmental Earth Sciences, 75, 1104. doi:10.1007/s12665-016-5904-y
  • EN Nagpal, M., Klassert, C., Heilemann, J., Klauer, B., & Gawel, E. (2026). Measuring crop acreage adaptation to changing yields and prices: An empirical analysis for agriculture in Germany. Preprint (not yet peer-reviewed).
  • EN Nguyen, V. D., Vorogushyn, S., Nissen, K., Brunner, L., & Merz, B. (2024). A non-stationary climate-informed weather generator for assessing future flood risks. Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography, 10, 195–216. doi:10.5194/ascmo-10-195-2024
  • EN Vorogushyn, S., Han, L., Apel, H., Nguyen, V. D., Guse, B., Guan, X., Rakovec, O., Najafi, H., Samaniego, L., & Merz, B. (2025). It could have been much worse: spatial counterfactuals of the July 2021 flood in the Ahr Valley, Germany. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 25, 2007–2029. doi:10.5194/nhess-25-2007-2025